Vietnam’s economy grew at a fast pace in the first half of 2018 compared to the previous years, but there are indications that it is losing momentum – a problem not only in the last half of the year but also in 2019 and 2020.
Containers are loaded at Tan Vu Port of Hai Phong Port in Hai Phong city (Photo: VNA).
The remark was made by Dang Duc Anh, head of the analysis and
forecast section of the National Centre for Socio-economic Information and
Forecast (NCIF), at a discussion in Hanoi on August 8.
The growth rate reached 7.45 percent in the first quarter and
6.79 percent in the second quarter, but it is predicted to slow down to 6.72
percent during July-September and 6.56 percent in the last three months.
Meanwhile, average inflation is likely to be around 4 – 4.2 percent, according
to the NCIF.
Despite the 7.08-percent growth in the first six months,
there are many challenges during the rest of the year, including pressure from
the appreciation of the US dollar due to the possibility that the US Federal
Reserve could hike interest rates twice from now to the year’s end.
Resources for economic growth in the coming months are
unclear while the processing and manufacturing industry – a major driving force
– is depending on FDI firms and still at a low level in value chains. The
driving force from the FDI sector, which is becoming saturated in Vietnam, is
also reducing. Additionally, effects of business climate improvement policies
haven’t been clearly seen, he added.
Other challenges include impacts of the US-China trade war.
Echoing his view, other experts said the US-China trade
tension could lead to a domino effect on Vietnam’s economy.
Tran Toan Thang, head of the NCIF’s world economy section,
said the trade war, geopolitical risks and the US’s taxation policy reforms will
affect investment decision of multi-national American companies. The reduction
of corporate income tax in the US may also trigger a wave of tax cut or more
investment incentives in some countries to keep US businesses, which could
impact the competitiveness of Vietnam’s investment environment.
To maintain the growth momentum for the coming time, Vietnam
should create a more transparent investment climate, improve technological
capacity to attract more FDI companies, and actively respond to the US-China trade
war’s impacts and exchange rate changes.
Meanwhile, Luu Bich Ho, former Director of the Vietnam
Institute for Development Strategies at the Ministry of Planning and
Investment, said the country needs to press on with developing processing and
manufacturing and pay more attention to seeking export markets.
He noted amid US-China trade tensions, it is necessary to
prevent Chinese goods from taking advantage of the Vietnamese market to falsify
their origin to export to the US, or Vietnam could be taxed in a way China has
been.
Source: VNA
Maximizing local potential and advantages, Yen Tri commune in Yen Thuy district is actively promoting the cultivation of medicinal herbs and turning medicinal herbs into One Commune - One Product (OCOP) products.
Situated at the gateway to the Northwest, Hoa Binh province has a population of over 900,000, including about 540,000 of working age. It is home to 6,000 businesses and production facilities, providing employment for over 100,000 workers. The remaining workforce is engaged in informal jobs, works in enterprises outside the province, or contributes to agro-forestry-fisheries. Additionally, around 3,000 workers are employed abroad.
The Hoa Binh provincial People's Committee has issued Decision No. 2767/QD-UBND announcing the rankings of departments, agencies, districts and Hoa Binh city in the Public Administration Reform Index (PAR) and the Satisfaction Index of Public Administration Services (SIPAS) in 2024.
The cultivation of Dam Xanh fish (Bangana lemassoni), a unique fish species, has seen remarkable growth in Mai Chau district, thanks to its high economic value and effectiveness. Initially concentrated in Van Mai commune, farming has now extended to four other communes, namely Mai Hich, Mai Ha, Chieng Chau, and Son Thuy. These areas benefit from pristine underground water flowing from mountain crevices, providing ideal conditions for raising this specialty fish.
In 2024, the total state budget revenue of Hoa Binh Province is estimated at approximately VND 6,930 billion, achieving 183% of the Government’s target, 126% of the target assigned by the Provincial People's Council, and 145% compared to the same period last year.
In 2024, Hoa Binh province has shown signs of improvement in attracting investment and developing enterprises.
